Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910) and Hansa Rostock (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hansa Rostock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 Hansa Rostock | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Hansa Rostock 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Hansa Rostock 2-5 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 Hansa Rostock | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 Hansa Rostock | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Hansa Rostock 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock on Feb 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hansa Rostock is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Mar 20, 2027MSV DuisburgvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Mar 20, 2027Würzburger KickersvsSV Meppen
- Mar 20, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsSV Wehen
- Mar 20, 2027Fortuna KölnvsPreußen Münster
- Mar 20, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsHavelse
- Mar 20, 2027Alemannia AachenvsStuttgart II
- Mar 20, 2027VerlvsFC Viktoria Köln