Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Preußen Münster have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fortuna Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Preußen Münster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Preußen Münster 1-3 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Fortuna Köln 1-3 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Fortuna Köln 3-2 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2021 | Preußen Münster 3-1 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Fortuna Köln 2-0 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln on Apr 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Preußen Münster sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsHansa Rostock
- Mar 20, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Mar 20, 2027MSV DuisburgvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Mar 20, 2027Würzburger KickersvsSV Meppen
- Mar 20, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsSV Wehen
- Mar 20, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsHavelse
- Mar 20, 2027Alemannia AachenvsStuttgart II
- Mar 20, 2027VerlvsFC Viktoria Köln