Match

VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck

VfB LübeckPhönix Lübeck

The Footlab AI model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1. If Phönix Lübeck wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,881).

23%22%55%
VfB Lübeck winDrawPhönix Lübeck win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Lübeck

Not enough data to predict the VfB Lübeck lineup.

Phönix Lübeck

4-3-3
  1. 10J. Stöver
  2. 80O. Touray
  3. 13J. Beke
  1. 8F. Maiolo
  2. 18O. Rahimic
  3. 14M. Kretzer
  1. 3J. Vollert
  2. 28J. Farr
  3. 6M. Dammeier
  4. 24B. Luis
  1. 1T. Kips

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)2-5Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 17, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 12, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 2, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 25, 2026Todesfelde(home)3-2Regionalliga - Nord
Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Schöningen(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 25, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 17, 2026Kickers Emden(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 11, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 3, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Lübeck win, 3 draws, 2 Phönix Lübeck wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Phönix Lübeck 4-0 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 19, 2026VfB Lübeck 3-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 5, 2025Phönix Lübeck 2-0 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 12, 2025VfB Lübeck 2-2 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 6, 2024Phönix Lübeck 1-1 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Feb 24, 2023VfB Lübeck 1-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Lübeck on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Lübeck score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Lübeck1.61.9112/1510/15
Phönix Lübeck2.81.178/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Lübeck sit 11th in Regionalliga - Nord (18 points from 15 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (31 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck15942411431
11VfB Lübeck15465222818

A question about VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?
The Footlab AI model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for VfB Lübeck.
Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck played?
VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfB Lübeck and Phönix Lübeck

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