Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck played?

VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck

VfB Lübeck

Phönix Lübeck

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,902) and Phönix Lübeck (1,954).

VfB Lübeck win37 %

Draw26 %

Phönix Lübeck win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	0-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026	VfB Oldenburg(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Atlas Delmenhorst(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 4, 2026	Phönix L. II(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026	Heider SV(away)	3-1	Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

Phönix Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfB Lübeck(home)	4-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Bremer SV(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Lübeck win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Phönix Lübeck 4-0 VfB Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 19, 2026	VfB Lübeck 3-1 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 5, 2025	Phönix Lübeck 2-0 VfB Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 12, 2025	VfB Lübeck 2-2 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 6, 2024	Phönix Lübeck 1-1 VfB Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Feb 24, 2023	VfB Lübeck 1-1 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Lübeck on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfB Lübeck	1.3	1.3	2	9/15	6/15
Phönix Lübeck	1.8	1.5	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Phönix Lübeck	4	2	1	1	7	2	7
16	VfB Lübeck	4	0	2	2	2	8	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?: The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for VfB Lübeck.
Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck played?: VfB Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.