Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg?
Weiche Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Weiche Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 3-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 9, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 2-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 1-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 12, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 0-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Weiche Flensburg 1-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg played?
- Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Dec 5, 2026VfB LübeckvsPhönix Lübeck
- Dec 5, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsSt. Pauli II
- Dec 5, 2026SSV JeddelohvsEimsbütteler TV
- Dec 5, 2026HSC HannovervsVfB Oldenburg
- Dec 5, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsBremer SV
- Dec 5, 2026Kickers EmdenvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Dec 5, 2026TodesfeldevsSchöningen