VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Weiche Flensburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate VfB Oldenburg (2,015) and Weiche Flensburg (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfB Oldenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg 1-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 2-3 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 4, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 5-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 2-0 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Feb 18, 2024 | VfB Oldenburg 2-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Weiche Flensburg 2-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Weiche Flensburg.
- Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg played?
- VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Mar 20, 2027VfB LübeckvsHannover 96 II
- Mar 20, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsTodesfelde
- Mar 20, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsPhönix Lübeck
- Mar 20, 2027HSC HannovervsBremer SV
- Mar 20, 2027Hamburger SV IIvsSchöningen
- Mar 20, 2027Kickers EmdenvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Mar 20, 2027Eimsbütteler TVvsSt. Pauli II