Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München played?

VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the DFB Pokal.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 0-3.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,519 Elo points against 2,002 — a 517-point gap.

VfL Osnabrück win4 %

Draw8 %

Bayern München win88 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Osnabrück
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Spelle-Venhaus(away)	5-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Magdeburg(home)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	3-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Nordhorn(away)	7-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Osnabrück	2.2	1.6	4	7/15	9/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for VfL Osnabrück.
Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München played?: VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.