VfL Vichttal vs Düren Merzenich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 1Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Dörenberg - EWV Arena, Stolberg (Rhineland)
The Footlab model makes VfL Vichttal the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Vichttal vs Düren Merzenich?
VfL Vichttal starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Vichttal have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Düren Merzenich have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 6-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Porz(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 VfL Vichttal win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Düren Merzenich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Düren Merzenich 0-6 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 14, 2025 | VfL Vichttal 4-1 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Düren Merzenich 6-0 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 3, 2021 | VfL Vichttal 2-2 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 28, 2020 | VfL Vichttal 6-3 Düren Merzenich | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Düren Merzenich vs VfL Vichttal on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Vichttal score 3.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Vichttal | 3.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Vichttal sit 5th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (59 points from 30 matches) and Düren Merzenich sit 11th (38 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VfL Vichttal | 30 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 80 | 43 | 59 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Vichttal vs Düren Merzenich?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Vichttal the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is VfL Vichttal vs Düren Merzenich played?
- VfL Vichttal vs Düren Merzenich is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Dörenberg - EWV Arena, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.