Siegburger SV vs SSV Merten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Walter-Mundorf-Stadion, Siegburg
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Siegburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siegburger SV vs SSV Merten?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Siegburger SV (1,915) and SSV Merten (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siegburger SV have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; SSV Merten have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Siegburger SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SSV Merten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten 5-1 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Siegburger SV 0-1 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 11, 2025 | SSV Merten 3-0 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Siegburger SV 2-4 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: SSV Merten vs Siegburger SV on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siegburger SV score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siegburger SV | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siegburger SV sit 3rd in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (63 points from 30 matches) and SSV Merten sit 4th (60 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Siegburger SV | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 77 | 34 | 63 |
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siegburger SV vs SSV Merten?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Siegburger SV.
- Where and when is Siegburger SV vs SSV Merten played?
- Siegburger SV vs SSV Merten is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Walter-Mundorf-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.