Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Wolfsburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,452 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli?

VfL Wolfsburg starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (2,147 vs 2,042).

53%24%23%
VfL Wolfsburg winDrawFC St. Pauli win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfL Wolfsburg

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Reese
  2. 19R. Glatzel
  3. 17A. Bernhardsson
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 27M. Arnold
  1. 21J. Mæhle
  2. 6H. Wahl
  3. 33Cleiton
  4. 26S. Kumbedi
  1. 1T. Wellenreuther

FC St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  2. 10B. Hrgota
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 16J. Fujita
  5. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 8E. Smith
  3. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 2, 8 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Nov 7, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026SC Freiburg(away)2-3DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-12. Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261. FC Magdeburg(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-32. Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 3 draws, 1 FC St. Pauli win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
May 16, 2026FC St. Pauli 1-3 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Jan 14, 2026VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 FC St. PauliBundesliga
Mar 8, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FC St. PauliBundesliga
Oct 26, 2024FC St. Pauli 0-0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Apr 16, 2011VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 FC St. PauliBundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg2.51.5410/159/15
FC St. Pauli1.11.7311/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 5th in 2. Bundesliga (19 points from 11 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5VfL Wolfsburg11542261619
9FC St. Pauli11263131612

A question about VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli played?
VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfL Wolfsburg and FC St. Pauli