Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

FC St. Pauli

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,031) and FC St. Pauli (1,960).

VfL Wolfsburg win55 %

Draw24 %

FC St. Pauli win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FC St. Pauli have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	3-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 FC St. Pauli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	FC St. Pauli 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli	Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FC St. Pauli	Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024	FC St. Pauli 0-0 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2011	VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 FC St. Pauli	Bundesliga
Nov 21, 2010	FC St. Pauli 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.1	5	8/15	8/15
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and FC St. Pauli sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.