Match

FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliEnergie Cottbus

The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Energie Cottbus. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC St. Pauli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (2,042) and Energie Cottbus (2,058).

45%25%30%
FC St. Pauli winDrawEnergie Cottbus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  2. 10B. Hrgota
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 16J. Fujita
  5. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 8E. Smith
  3. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

Energie Cottbus

4-2-3-1
  1. 31J. Butler
  1. 8Lukas Michelbrink
  2. 9L. Copado
  3. 32L. Bittencourt
  4. 11M. Hannemann
  5. 10T. Ciğerci
  1. 2K. Manu
  2. 3H. Rorig
  3. 21Luca Erlein
  4. 25L. Guwara
  1. 1M. Lotka

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Energie Cottbus have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261. FC Magdeburg(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-32. Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-32. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC St. Pauli win, 4 draws, 1 Energie Cottbus win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Apr 17, 2014Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Nov 11, 2013FC St. Pauli 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Feb 3, 2013FC St. Pauli 0-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Aug 25, 2012Energie Cottbus 2-0 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Mar 25, 2012FC St. Pauli 0-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Energie Cottbus score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.11.7311/157/15
Energie Cottbus1.61.9211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 11 matches) and Energie Cottbus sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC St. Pauli11263131612
12Energie Cottbus11254182011

A question about FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus?
The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Energie Cottbus.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus played?
FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC St. Pauli and Energie Cottbus