Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus played?

FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

Energie Cottbus

The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Energie Cottbus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,960) and Energie Cottbus (1,980).

FC St. Pauli win41 %

Draw26 %

Energie Cottbus win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Energie Cottbus have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

Energie Cottbus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Augsburg(home)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Hannover 96(home)	3-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Werder Bremen(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC St. Pauli win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Energie Cottbus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2014	Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Nov 11, 2013	FC St. Pauli 3-0 Energie Cottbus	2. Bundesliga
Feb 3, 2013	FC St. Pauli 0-0 Energie Cottbus	2. Bundesliga
Aug 25, 2012	Energie Cottbus 2-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Mar 25, 2012	FC St. Pauli 0-0 Energie Cottbus	2. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2011	Energie Cottbus 1-4 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 17, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15
Energie Cottbus	1.8	1.6	3	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Energie Cottbus sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Energie Cottbus	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus?: The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Energie Cottbus.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus played?: FC St. Pauli vs Energie Cottbus is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.