VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg W the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,665 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
VfL Wolfsburg W is a heavy favourite: 2,220 Elo points against 1,818, a 402-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VfL Wolfsburg W
4-3-3- 10S. Huth
- 9L. Prašnikar
- 28C. Zicai
- 6J. Minge
- 5E. Peddemors
- 8L. Lattwein
- 16C. Küver
- 39S. Linder
- 2T. Bjelde
- 3L. Carleer
- 1S. Johannes
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg W have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Mainz 05 W have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Koln W(home) | 3-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mainz 05 W(away) | 5-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Hamburger SV W(home) | 2-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sturm Graz W(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SC Sand W(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim W(away) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg W(home) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ingolstadt W(away) | 6-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(home) | 2-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg W wins, 0 draws, 0 Mainz 05 W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mainz 05 W 0-5 VfL Wolfsburg W | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Mainz 05 W 1-4 VfL Wolfsburg W | DFB Pokal - Women |
Last archived meeting: Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Wolfsburg W score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mainz 05 W score 2.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Mainz 05 W | 2.3 | 2.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Wolfsburg W sit 2nd in Frauen Bundesliga (21 points from 8 matches) and Mainz 05 W sit 14th (0 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
A question about VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg W the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Mainz 05 W.
- Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W played?
- VfL Wolfsburg W vs Mainz 05 W is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AOK Stadion, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.