Match

VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen

VfR AalenHessen Kassel

The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,969) and Hessen Kassel (1,946).

VfR Aalen win44 %
Draw23 %
Hessen Kassel win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Aalen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026Freiburg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Hessen Kassel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Freiburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026SV Rodinghausen(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Lippstadt 08(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfR Aalen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hessen Kassel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 9, 2023Hessen Kassel 3-2 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 26, 2023VfR Aalen 1-1 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 21, 2023Hessen Kassel 1-2 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 2, 2022VfR Aalen 3-0 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
May 7, 2022VfR Aalen 0-0 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 13, 2021Hessen Kassel 1-2 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen on Dec 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfR Aalen2.21.068/159/15
Hessen Kassel1.72.138/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hessen Kassel2101453
15VfR Aalen3021252

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel?
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Hessen Kassel.
Where and when is VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel played?
VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfR Aalen and Hessen Kassel

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