VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,969) and Hessen Kassel (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfR Aalen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hessen Kassel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | Hessen Kassel 3-2 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 26, 2023 | VfR Aalen 1-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Hessen Kassel 1-2 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 2, 2022 | VfR Aalen 3-0 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 7, 2022 | VfR Aalen 0-0 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Hessen Kassel 1-2 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen on Dec 9, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Aalen | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | VfR Aalen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Hessen Kassel.
- Where and when is VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel played?
- VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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