SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Donaustadion, Ulm
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Mannheim?
VfR Mannheim starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Ulm 1846 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for SSV Ulm 1846.
- Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Mannheim played?
- SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfR Mannheim is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026SV SandhausenvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Nov 7, 2026VfR AalenvsHessen Kassel
- Nov 7, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsSGV Freiberg
- Nov 7, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsFC 08 Homburg
- Nov 7, 2026Eintracht TriervsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Nov 7, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsFreiburg II
- Nov 7, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsTSV Steinbach
- Nov 7, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsStuttgarter Kickers