Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?

Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moselstadion, Trier

Eintracht Trier

FSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Eintracht Trier (1,888) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

Eintracht Trier win30 %

Draw26 %

FSV Mainz 05 II win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Trier have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eintracht Trier
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	0-6	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Ahrweiler(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05 II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026	Kreuzlingen(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Trier win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Eintracht Trier 0-5 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 30, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 3-2 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
May 4, 2025	Eintracht Trier 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 3, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
Feb 4, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 II 2-0 Eintracht Trier	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 11, 2023	FSV Mainz 05 II 2-0 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Eintracht Trier	1.3	1.5	5	6/15	9/15
FSV Mainz 05 II	1.4	1.4	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Eintracht Trier sit 10th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Eintracht Trier	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
13	FSV Mainz 05 II	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II?: The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Eintracht Trier.
Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?: Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.