Oldenburger SV vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, Oldenburg in Holstein
The Footlab model makes Oldenburger SV the favourite at 39%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldenburger SV vs TSB Flensburg?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Oldenburger SV (1,691) and TSB Flensburg (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldenburger SV have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Oldenburger SV win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 TSB Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg 2-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 3, 2025 | TSB Flensburg 0-0 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 2-2 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 20, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 3-3 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Oldenburger SV 2-2 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 4-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: TSB Flensburg vs Oldenburger SV on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldenburger SV sit 9th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (7 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldenburger SV vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Oldenburger SV the favourite at 39%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Oldenburger SV vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Oldenburger SV vs TSB Flensburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.