Vibonese vs AC Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
The Footlab model makes AC Palermo the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Vibonese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vibonese vs AC Palermo?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Vibonese (1,669) and AC Palermo (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vibonese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; AC Palermo have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gela(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vibonese win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AC Palermo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vibonese 2-3 AC Palermo | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AC Palermo 2-2 Vibonese | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Vibonese vs AC Palermo on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vibonese score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AC Palermo score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vibonese | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| AC Palermo | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vibonese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (35 points from 34 matches) and AC Palermo sit 4th (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 47 | 60 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vibonese vs AC Palermo?
- The Footlab model makes AC Palermo the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Vibonese.
- Where and when is Vibonese vs AC Palermo played?
- Vibonese vs AC Palermo is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Luigi Razza, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.