Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Party-Rent-Arena, Rosport
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Victoria Rosport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Rosport have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| May 29, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Victoria Rosport win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 2-2 Victoria Rosport | Cup |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Victoria Rosport 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Victoria Rosport 0-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 2-1 Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Victoria Rosport 3-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Rosport score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Rosport | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Rosport sit 15th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Victoria Rosport.
- Where and when is Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn is played on May 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Party-Rent-Arena, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027F91 DudelangevsAS Jeunesse Esch
- May 9, 2027FC Differdange 03vsAtert Bissen
- May 9, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsRésidence Walferdange
- May 9, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsUS Rumelange
- May 9, 2027US HostertvsWiltz
- May 9, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- May 9, 2027Swift HesperangevsUNA Strassen