US Hostert vs Wiltz: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs Wiltz?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate US Hostert (1,436) and Wiltz (1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 US Hostert win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Wiltz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Wiltz 2-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2024 | US Hostert 3-4 Wiltz | National Division |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Wiltz 4-1 US Hostert | Cup |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Wiltz 2-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Sep 11, 2022 | US Hostert 2-3 Wiltz | National Division |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Wiltz 0-0 US Hostert | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs Wiltz?
- The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs Wiltz played?
- US Hostert vs Wiltz is played on May 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027F91 DudelangevsAS Jeunesse Esch
- May 9, 2027FC Differdange 03vsAtert Bissen
- May 9, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsRésidence Walferdange
- May 9, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsUS Rumelange
- May 9, 2027Victoria RosportvsProgres Niederkorn
- May 9, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- May 9, 2027Swift HesperangevsUNA Strassen