Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes F91 Dudelange the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Progres Niederkorn (1,557) and F91 Dudelange (1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; F91 Dudelange have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 F91 Dudelange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 2-4 F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2025 | F91 Dudelange 4-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 2-1 F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | F91 Dudelange 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 18, 2024 | F91 Dudelange 0-2 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 F91 Dudelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; F91 Dudelange score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| F91 Dudelange | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and F91 Dudelange sit 14th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | F91 Dudelange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange?
- The Footlab model makes F91 Dudelange the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Hostert
- May 15, 2027US RumelangevsEtzella Ettelbruck
- May 15, 2027UNA StrassenvsFC Differdange 03
- May 15, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsSwift Hesperange
- May 15, 2027WiltzvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- May 15, 2027Atert BissenvsVictoria Rosport
- May 15, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsAS Jeunesse Esch