Viitorul Onesti vs Aerostar Bacau: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baza Filipești, Filipești
The Footlab model makes Viitorul Onesti the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Aerostar Bacau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viitorul Onesti vs Aerostar Bacau?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Viitorul Onesti (1,412) and Aerostar Bacau (1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viitorul Onesti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aerostar Bacau have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Viitorul Onesti win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Aerostar Bacau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 0-1 Viitorul Onesti | Cupa României |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 0-4 Viitorul Onesti | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Viitorul Onesti 2-0 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Viitorul Onesti 1-0 Aerostar Bacau | Cupa României |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Aerostar Bacau 4-3 Viitorul Onesti | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Viitorul Onesti 1-2 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 2 |
Last archived meeting: Aerostar Bacau vs Viitorul Onesti on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Viitorul Onesti score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aerostar Bacau score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viitorul Onesti | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viitorul Onesti sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 1 (36 points from 22 matches) and Aerostar Bacau sit 5th (35 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Viitorul Onesti | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viitorul Onesti vs Aerostar Bacau?
- The Footlab model makes Viitorul Onesti the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Aerostar Bacau.
- Where and when is Viitorul Onesti vs Aerostar Bacau played?
- Viitorul Onesti vs Aerostar Bacau is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baza Filipești, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.