Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Lyse Arena, Stavanger
The Footlab model makes Viking the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Dinamo Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Viking (2,191) and Dinamo Zagreb (2,170).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viking have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Start(away) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Viking win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dinamo Zagreb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Viking | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Viking score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes Viking the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Dinamo Zagreb.
- Where and when is Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
- Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb is played on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Lyse Arena, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.