NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for NK Varazdin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,174 vs 1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Varazdin have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 NK Varazdin win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Dinamo Zagreb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Feb 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Aug 30, 2025 | NK Varazdin 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| May 25, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Varazdin score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Varazdin sit 3rd in HNL (9 points from 4 matches) and Dinamo Zagreb sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for NK Varazdin.
- Where and when is NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
- NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.