Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yuvileinyi, Sumy
The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Chernihiv. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Viktoriya Mykolaivka (1,683) and Chernihiv (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viktoriya Mykolaivka have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chernihiv have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Viktoriya Mykolaivka win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chernihiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 3-0 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Chernihiv 1-2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Chernihiv 0-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Cup |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Chernihiv 0-3 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Viktoriya Mykolaivka score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chernihiv score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Chernihiv | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viktoriya Mykolaivka sit 1st in Persha Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and Chernihiv sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Chernihiv | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv?
- The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Chernihiv.
- Where and when is Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv played?
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yuvileinyi, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.