SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zirka im. Stanislava Berezkina, Kropyvnytskyi
The Footlab model makes SK Poltava the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Prykarpattia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate SK Poltava (1,616) and Prykarpattia (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SK Poltava have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Prykarpattia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mayak Sarny(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 SK Poltava win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Prykarpattia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | SK Poltava 3-0 Prykarpattia | Persha Liga |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Prykarpattia 3-1 SK Poltava | Persha Liga |
| May 20, 2023 | Prykarpattia 0-1 SK Poltava | Persha Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | SK Poltava 0-1 Prykarpattia | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
SK Poltava score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Prykarpattia score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Poltava | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Prykarpattia | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SK Poltava sit 2nd in Persha Liga (8 points from 4 matches) and Prykarpattia sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SK Poltava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Prykarpattia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
- The Footlab model makes SK Poltava the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Prykarpattia.
- Where and when is SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia played?
- SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zirka im. Stanislava Berezkina, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.