Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Nyva Ternopil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,645) and Nyva Ternopil (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Kyiv have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nyva Ternopil have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nyva Ternopil score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 12th in Persha Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Nyva Ternopil sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Nyva Ternopil.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil played?
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.