Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, Vilassar de Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlètic Lleida wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida?
Atlètic Lleida starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 9Soule
- 11M. Sidibe
- 8Samson
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- RRoger Alcalá
- 1P. Torres
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilassar Mar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlètic Lleida have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vilassar Mar wins, 1 draw, 1 Atlètic Lleida win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atlètic Lleida 2-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 2-2 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlètic Lleida vs Vilassar Mar on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vilassar Mar score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar Mar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilassar Mar sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (4 points from 6 matches) and Atlètic Lleida sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlètic Lleida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida played?
- Vilassar Mar vs Atlètic Lleida is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.