Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 41Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Campana, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 54%, against 30% for a draw and 16% for San Martín Burzaco. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco?
Villa Dalmine starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Dalmine have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; San Martín Burzaco have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Villa Dalmine win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Martín Burzaco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco 0-2 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2025 | San Martín Burzaco 1-0 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Villa Dalmine 1-1 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Villa Dalmine 0-0 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 15, 2024 | San Martín Burzaco 1-0 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Martín Burzaco score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Dalmine | 0.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| San Martín Burzaco | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Dalmine sit 3rd in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and San Martín Burzaco sit 10th (28 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 59 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 10 | San Martín Burzaco | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 28 |
| 12 | San Martín Burzaco | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 34 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 54%, against 30% for a draw and 16% for San Martín Burzaco.
- Where and when is Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco played?
- Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Arsenal SarandivsDeportivo Camioneros
- Oct 24, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsDefensores Unidos
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsComunicaciones
- Oct 24, 2026Talleres RemediosvsDock Sud
- Oct 24, 2026UAI UrquizavsVilla San Carlos
- Oct 24, 2026Real PilarvsLiniers
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsArgentino Quilmes
- Oct 24, 2026Argentino de MerlovsDeportivo Merlo