Real Pilar vs Liniers: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 41Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pilar, Partido de Pilar, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Liniers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Liniers?
Real Pilar starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Pilar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Liniers have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Pilar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Liniers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Liniers 0-1 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Liniers 1-0 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Real Pilar 1-3 Liniers | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Liniers 1-1 Real Pilar | Primera C |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Real Pilar 1-2 Liniers | Primera C |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Liniers 1-0 Real Pilar | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Liniers vs Real Pilar on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Pilar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liniers score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Liniers | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Pilar sit 7th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Liniers sit 14th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Pilar | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 48 |
| 14 | Liniers | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 24 |
| 17 | Liniers | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Pilar vs Liniers?
- The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Liniers.
- Where and when is Real Pilar vs Liniers played?
- Real Pilar vs Liniers is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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