Match

Real Pilar vs Liniers: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 41Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pilar, Partido de Pilar, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Real PilarLiniers

The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Liniers. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Liniers?

Real Pilar starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,602).

Real Pilar win49 %
Draw30 %
Liniers win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Pilar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Liniers have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Pilar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Armenio(away)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Flandria(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Argentino Quilmes(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Defensores Unidos(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Comunicaciones(away)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Liniers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Flandria(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Argentino Quilmes(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Defensores Unidos(away)3-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Comunicaciones(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Dock Sud(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Pilar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Liniers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Liniers 0-1 Real PilarPrimera B Metropolitana
Nov 15, 2025Liniers 1-0 Real PilarPrimera B Metropolitana
Jun 21, 2025Real Pilar 1-3 LiniersPrimera B Metropolitana
Oct 29, 2023Liniers 1-1 Real PilarPrimera C
Oct 14, 2023Real Pilar 1-2 LiniersPrimera C
Jul 14, 2023Liniers 1-0 Real PilarPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Liniers vs Real Pilar on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Pilar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liniers score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Pilar0.90.957/155/15
Liniers0.70.937/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Pilar sit 7th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Liniers sit 14th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Real Pilar20947232231
7Real Pilar311399343148
14Liniers21669142124
17Liniers3171113213132

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Pilar vs Liniers?
The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Liniers.
Where and when is Real Pilar vs Liniers played?
Real Pilar vs Liniers is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Pilar and Liniers

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