Match

Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal ARound of 32Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Fortín, Bahía Blanca, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Villa MitreCosta Brava

The Footlab AI model makes Villa Mitre the favourite at 56%, against 31% for a draw and 13% for Costa Brava. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

On Elo ratings, Villa Mitre has 1,802 points and Costa Brava 1,751.

56%31%13%
Villa Mitre winDrawCosta Brava win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Villa Mitre

4-3-3
  1. 7C. Monti
  2. 11Víctor Adriel Ayala
  3. 17M. Tunessi
  1. 8T. Perez
  2. 9T. Ibarra
  3. 5N. Cavagnero
  1. 2J. Almada
  2. 6S. Bacigalupe
  3. 4M. Escobar
  4. 3M. Pinto
  1. 1J. Mazza

Costa Brava

4-3-3
  1. 7J. Vivani
  2. 8M. Rivas
  3. 9J. Gutierrez
  1. 3N. Pacheco
  2. 10L. Ibarra
  3. 11T. Gomez
  1. 4J. Garoni
  2. 6B. Alferez
  3. 2P. Aguero
  4. 5A. Alles
  1. 1L. Silva

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Mitre have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Costa Brava have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Mitre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Costa Brava(away)1-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 20, 2026Kimberley Mar del Plata(home)0-0Torneo Federal A
Sep 13, 2026Argentino Monte Maíz(away)0-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 30, 2026Huracan Las Heras(home)3-0Torneo Federal A
Aug 22, 2026Juventud Antoniana(away)0-0Torneo Federal A
Costa Brava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Villa Mitre(home)1-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 20, 2026Sol de Mayo(home)1-0Torneo Federal A
Sep 13, 2026Santamarina(away)3-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 6, 2026Deportivo Rincon(away)1-1Torneo Federal A
Aug 30, 2026Juventud Unida Univ.(home)1-2Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Villa Mitre wins, 1 draw, 1 Costa Brava win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Costa Brava 1-1 Villa MitreTorneo Federal A
Jul 20, 2025Costa Brava 1-0 Villa MitreTorneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Mitre score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Brava score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Mitre1.00.5103/153/15
Costa Brava1.10.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Mitre sit 16th in Torneo Federal A (23 points from 16 matches) and Costa Brava sit 27th (18 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Villa Mitre1658314823
27Costa Brava16466121318

A question about Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?
The Footlab AI model makes Villa Mitre the favourite at 56%, against 31% for a draw and 13% for Costa Brava.
Where and when is Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava played?
Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fortín, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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