Villa Valle vs Milan II: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Milan II?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Milan II (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Milan II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 10-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Villa Valle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Milan II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II 1-1 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Villa Valle 2-1 Milan II | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Milan II vs Villa Valle on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Milan II | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Milan II sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milan II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 37 | 56 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Milan II?
- The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Villa Valle.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Milan II played?
- Villa Valle vs Milan II is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 20, 2026PiacenzavsReal Calepina
- Sep 20, 2026BrusaportovsFiorenzuola
- Sep 20, 2026Caldiero TermevsScanzorosciate
- Sep 20, 2026Club MilanovsVirtus Verona
- Sep 20, 2026Pro PalazzolovsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Sep 20, 2026Rovato VertovesevsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Sep 20, 2026PavonesevsTritium