Match

Rovato Vertovese vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Rovato VertoveseLeon Monza e Brianza

The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Rovato Vertovese (1,753) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712).

Rovato Vertovese win45 %
Draw28 %
Leon Monza e Brianza win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rovato Vertovese have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rovato Vertovese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Ospitaletto(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Imolese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Sangiuliano City(home)2-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(away)1-2Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Cittadella Vis Modena(away)0-0Serie D - Girone D
Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rovato Vertovese1.10.776/154/15
Leon Monza e Brianza1.41.347/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rovato Vertovese vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
Rovato Vertovese vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rovato Vertovese and Leon Monza e Brianza

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