Where and when is Real Calepina vs Villa Valle played?

Real Calepina vs Villa Valle is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Calepina vs Villa Valle: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte

Real Calepina

Villa Valle

The Footlab model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Calepina vs Villa Valle?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Real Calepina (1,689) and Villa Valle (1,688).

Real Calepina win45 %

Draw27 %

Villa Valle win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Villa Valle have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Calepina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Scanzorosciate(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Sondrio(away)	1-5	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Folgore Caratese(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Breno(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026	Milan II(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone B

Villa Valle
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Breno(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Oltrepò(home)	1-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Caldiero Terme(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Milan II(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Real Calepina win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Villa Valle win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 6, 2026	Villa Valle 2-2 Real Calepina	Serie D - Girone B
Sep 7, 2025	Real Calepina 1-3 Villa Valle	Serie D - Girone B
May 4, 2025	Villa Valle 3-1 Real Calepina	Serie D - Girone C
Dec 22, 2024	Real Calepina 1-1 Villa Valle	Serie D - Girone C
Nov 6, 2024	Villa Valle 1-0 Real Calepina	Coppa Italia Serie D
Jan 31, 2024	Villa Valle 2-0 Real Calepina	Serie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Villa Valle vs Real Calepina on Jan 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Calepina	1.1	1.2	5	8/15	5/15
Villa Valle	1.0	1.4	3	10/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (42 points from 34 matches) and Villa Valle sit 9th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Villa Valle	34	13	8	13	43	46	47
12	Real Calepina	34	11	9	14	42	47	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Villa Valle?: The Footlab model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Villa Valle.
Where and when is Real Calepina vs Villa Valle played?: Real Calepina vs Villa Valle is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.