Villanovense vs Gévora: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Villanovense, Villanueva de la Serena
The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Gévora. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villanovense vs Gévora?
Villanovense starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villanovense vs Gévora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villanovense
Not enough data to predict the Villanovense lineup.
Gévora
Not enough data to predict the Gévora lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanovense have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Gévora have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montijo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llerenense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Quintana(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Villanovense win, 1 draw, 0 Gévora wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Gévora 0-0 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Villanovense 3-2 Gévora | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Gévora vs Villanovense on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villanovense score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gévora score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanovense | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Gévora | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villanovense sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (13 points from 7 matches) and Gévora sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Villanovense vs Gévora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villanovense vs Gévora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Gévora.
- Where and when is Villanovense vs Gévora played?
- Villanovense vs Gévora is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Villanovense, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.