Villanovense vs Plasencia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Villanovense, Villanueva de la Serena
The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Plasencia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villanovense vs Plasencia?
Villanovense starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villanovense vs Plasencia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villanovense
Not enough data to predict the Villanovense lineup.
Plasencia
4-3-3- CChema Martín
- CC. Hanson
- LL. Macharashvili
- AAdri
- EEdu Sánchez
- DDiego
- ÁÁlvaro Juanals
- IIvan Villar
- AAgustín Fuentes
- PPablo Sanchez Mateos
- SSergio Moya
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanovense have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Plasencia have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Villanovense win, 0 draws, 0 Plasencia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2019 | Plasencia 1-2 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Plasencia vs Villanovense on Oct 31, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Villanovense score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plasencia score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanovense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Plasencia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villanovense sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (18 points from 10 matches) and Plasencia sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Villanovense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 15 | Plasencia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Villanovense vs Plasencia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villanovense vs Plasencia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villanovense the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Plasencia.
- Where and when is Villanovense vs Plasencia played?
- Villanovense vs Plasencia is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Villanovense, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.