Villarreal II vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Real Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Real Murcia?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Villarreal II (1,977) and Real Murcia (1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Real Murcia have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Villarreal II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Real Murcia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Villarreal II 1-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Real Murcia 1-1 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Real Murcia 1-0 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Villarreal II 0-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Real Murcia 3-1 Villarreal II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal II vs Real Murcia on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal II sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (63 points from 38 matches) and Real Murcia sit 10th (52 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal II | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 63 |
| 10 | Real Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal II vs Real Murcia?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Real Murcia.
- Where and when is Villarreal II vs Real Murcia played?
- Villarreal II vs Real Murcia is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.