Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Zaragoza. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza?
Rayo Majadahonda starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Zaragoza have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rayo Majadahonda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zaragoza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 2-2 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Zaragoza 2-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza on Jan 19, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Zaragoza.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Zaragoza is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.