Villarreal II vs Zaragoza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Zaragoza. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Zaragoza?
Villarreal II starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Zaragoza have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Villarreal II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Zaragoza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II 0-2 Zaragoza | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Villarreal II 0-0 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Zaragoza 2-0 Villarreal II | Segunda División |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Villarreal II 2-3 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Zaragoza 2-1 Villarreal II | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal II vs Zaragoza on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal II | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal II vs Zaragoza?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Zaragoza.
- Where and when is Villarreal II vs Zaragoza played?
- Villarreal II vs Zaragoza is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.