Algeciras vs Gimnastic: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Gimnastic?
On Elo ratings, Algeciras has 1,867 points and Gimnastic 1,846.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Algeciras vs Gimnastic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Algeciras
4-3-3- 18Pau Martínez
- 9R. Rubio
- 7Juanma García
- 20Jony Álamo
- 6Óscar Castro
- 8Iván Turrillo
- 11Tomás Sánchez
- 3J. Marquez
- 2Fran Carmona
- 5Ángel
- 1Iván Moreno
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 17Alex Almansa
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 16M. Babanzila
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 21I. Athuman
- 15José Amo
- 13Vicent Abril
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gimnastic have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Algeciras wins, 0 draws, 3 Gimnastic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Gimnastic 4-2 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Algeciras 1-0 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Gimnastic 2-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Gimnastic 1-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Algeciras 1-0 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnastic vs Algeciras on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnastic score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnastic | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeciras sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 7 matches) and Gimnastic sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gimnastic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Algeciras vs Gimnastic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Gimnastic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Gimnastic played?
- Algeciras vs Gimnastic is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.