Villarrobledo vs CD Villa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad, Villarrobledo
The Footlab AI model makes Villarrobledo the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for CD Villa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,140 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarrobledo vs CD Villa?
On Elo ratings, Villarrobledo has 1,754 points and CD Villa 1,721.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarrobledo vs CD Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarrobledo
Not enough data to predict the Villarrobledo lineup.
CD Villa
Not enough data to predict the CD Villa lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarrobledo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; CD Villa have 6, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villacañas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Villarrobledo score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; CD Villa score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrobledo | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| CD Villa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarrobledo sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (17 points from 9 matches) and CD Villa sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | CD Villa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Villarrobledo vs CD Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarrobledo vs CD Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarrobledo the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for CD Villa.
- Where and when is Villarrobledo vs CD Villa played?
- Villarrobledo vs CD Villa is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.