Guadalajara II vs Villarrobledo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara II the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Villarrobledo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara II vs Villarrobledo?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Guadalajara II (1,734) and Villarrobledo (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Villarrobledo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Azuqueca(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pedroñeras(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sonseca(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guadalajara II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Villarrobledo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Guadalajara II 3-1 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Villarrobledo 1-1 Guadalajara II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara II vs Villarrobledo on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara II score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villarrobledo score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara II | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Villarrobledo | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara II sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (44 points from 34 matches) and Villarrobledo sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guadalajara II | 34 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara II vs Villarrobledo?
- The Footlab model makes Guadalajara II the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Villarrobledo.
- Where and when is Guadalajara II vs Villarrobledo played?
- Guadalajara II vs Villarrobledo is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.