CD Villa vs Illescas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes CD Villa the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Illescas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Villa vs Illescas?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate CD Villa (1,755) and Illescas (1,738).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CD Villa vs Illescas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CD Villa
Not enough data to predict the CD Villa lineup.
Illescas
Not enough data to predict the Illescas lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, CD Villa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Illescas have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
CD Villa score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 6; Illescas score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Villa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Illescas | 0.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Villa sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (9 points from 5 matches) and Illescas sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illescas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
A question about CD Villa vs Illescas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Villa vs Illescas?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Villa the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Illescas.
- Where and when is CD Villa vs Illescas played?
- CD Villa vs Illescas is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.