Vilzing vs SpVgg Unterhaching: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Manfred-Zollner-Stadion, Cham
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vilzing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilzing vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Vilzing (1,910) and SpVgg Unterhaching (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilzing have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Unterhaching have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Augsburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Vilzing win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | SpVgg Unterhaching 5-0 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Vilzing 1-3 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 6, 2023 | Vilzing 0-2 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 8, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 5-2 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Unterhaching vs Vilzing on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vilzing score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilzing | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilzing sit 5th in Regionalliga - Bayern (9 points from 5 matches) and SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vilzing | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilzing vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vilzing.
- Where and when is Vilzing vs SpVgg Unterhaching played?
- Vilzing vs SpVgg Unterhaching is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Zollner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.