Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Schwaben Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Schwaben Augsburg (1,794) and Aubstadt (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaben Augsburg have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Schwaben Augsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aubstadt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg 3-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aubstadt 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Aubstadt 2-3 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Schwaben Augsburg 0-2 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt?
- The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Schwaben Augsburg.
- Where and when is Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt played?
- Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.