Šobec Lesce vs Vipava: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Na Žagi, Lesce
The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Vipava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šobec Lesce vs Vipava?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Šobec Lesce (1,388) and Vipava (1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šobec Lesce have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Vipava have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(home) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Izola(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Škofja Loka(away) | 0-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Dob(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Šobec Lesce win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Vipava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vipava 1-1 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Šobec Lesce 0-0 Vipava | 3. SNL - West |
| May 8, 2021 | Šobec Lesce 1-2 Vipava | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Vipava vs Šobec Lesce on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Šobec Lesce score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vipava score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šobec Lesce | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vipava | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šobec Lesce sit 9th in 3. SNL - West (2 points from 2 matches) and Vipava sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Šobec Lesce | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 | Vipava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šobec Lesce vs Vipava?
- The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Vipava.
- Where and when is Šobec Lesce vs Vipava played?
- Šobec Lesce vs Vipava is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Na Žagi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.