Match

Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Calcio Righi, Bozen

Virtus BolzanoTriestina

The Footlab AI model makes Triestina the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Triestina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Virtus Bolzano (1,622) and Triestina (1,675).

35%29%36%
Virtus Bolzano winDrawTriestina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Virtus Bolzano

Not enough data to predict the Virtus Bolzano lineup.

Triestina

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Faggioli
  2. 9E. Vertainen
  3. 43O. Gningue
  1. 15I. Voca
  2. 17K. Jónsson
  3. 16J. Vicario
  1. 14M. Anzolin
  2. 23T. Silvestri
  3. 20H. Davis
  4. 5S. Kosijer
  1. 1K. Matošević

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Bolzano have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Triestina have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Virtus Bolzano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(away)2-3Serie D - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Bassano Virtus(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Campodarsego(away)1-4Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Calvi Noale(home)1-3Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Altavilla(away)0-7Serie D - Girone C
Triestina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Mestre(home)0-2Serie D - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Conegliano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026LME(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026FC Obermais(home)2-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(away)0-3Serie D - Girone C

How many goals should we expect?

Virtus Bolzano score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Triestina score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Virtus Bolzano1.22.5110/1511/15
Triestina1.31.648/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Virtus Bolzano sit 14th in Serie D - Girone C (9 points from 8 matches) and Triestina sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Triestina82338109
14Virtus Bolzano83058239

A question about Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina?
The Footlab AI model makes Triestina the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Virtus Bolzano.
Where and when is Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina played?
Virtus Bolzano vs Triestina is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Calcio Righi, in the Serie D - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Virtus Bolzano and Triestina

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