Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Calcio Righi, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mestre wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre?
Mestre starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,517).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Bolzano
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Bolzano lineup.
Mestre
Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Bolzano have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mestre have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-7 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandona(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Schio(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Virtus Bolzano win, 0 draws, 3 Mestre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mestre 1-0 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Virtus Bolzano 1-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Virtus Bolzano 0-2 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Mestre 2-0 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Bolzano score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Bolzano | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mestre | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Bolzano sit 15th in Serie D - Girone C (6 points from 6 matches) and Mestre sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Virtus Bolzano | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Virtus Bolzano.
- Where and when is Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre played?
- Virtus Bolzano vs Mestre is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Calcio Righi, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.