Match

Ascoli vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats

Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno

AscoliVirtus Entella

The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ascoli vs Virtus Entella?

Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,756).

54%26%20%
Ascoli winDrawVirtus Entella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ascoli vs Virtus Entella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ascoli

4-2-3-1
  1. 35G. Gori
  1. 62T. Milanese
  2. 15S. D'Uffizi
  3. 8G. Corradini
  4. 4S. Damiani
  5. 7A. Silipo
  1. 30M. Curado
  2. 19A. Guiébré
  3. 33N. Rizzo
  4. 14A. Oliveri
  1. 1S. Vitale

Virtus Entella

3-5-2
  1. 11Bernat Guiu
  2. 10L. Cuppone
  1. 24A. Franzoni
  2. 5N. Squizzato
  3. 8L. Vignali
  4. 80L. Benedetti
  5. 26Z. Menyhárt
  1. 23L. Parodi
  2. 27M. Alborghetti
  3. 6A. Tiritiello
  1. 22F. Del Frate

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Entella have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ascoli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sudtirol(away)0-0Serie B
Sep 19, 2026Avellino(home)3-1Serie B
Sep 12, 2026Padova(away)0-1Serie B
Sep 5, 2026Benevento(home)1-0Serie B
Aug 29, 2026Carrarese(home)1-1Serie B
Virtus Entella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Juve Stabia(home)1-1Serie B
Sep 19, 2026Cremonese(away)0-0Serie B
Sep 11, 2026Pisa(away)4-1Serie B
Sep 6, 2026Vicenza Virtus(home)2-2Serie B
Aug 29, 2026Cesena(home)1-2Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ascoli win, 2 draws, 3 Virtus Entella wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 12, 2025Ascoli 0-1 Virtus EntellaSerie C - Girone B
Sep 9, 2024Virtus Entella 2-1 AscoliSerie C - Girone B
Mar 6, 2021Virtus Entella 0-0 AscoliSerie B
Nov 22, 2020Ascoli 1-1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
Mar 8, 2020Virtus Entella 3-0 AscoliSerie B
Oct 25, 2019Ascoli 2-1 Virtus EntellaSerie B

Last archived meeting: Ascoli vs Virtus Entella on Jan 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ascoli1.51.058/158/15
Virtus Entella1.11.129/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ascoli sit 5th in Serie B (11 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Ascoli63217411
14Virtus Entella6132876

A question about Ascoli vs Virtus Entella?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Virtus Entella?
The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Virtus Entella.
Where and when is Ascoli vs Virtus Entella played?
Ascoli vs Virtus Entella is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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