Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
The Footlab model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Brindisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Virtus Francavilla (1,708) and Brindisi (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Brindisi have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pompei(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Francavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Manfredonia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Nardò(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Nocerina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Ugento(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Virtus Francavilla win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Brindisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Brindisi 1-1 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla 1-1 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Brindisi 2-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Virtus Francavilla 2-0 Brindisi | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Virtus Francavilla 0-1 Brindisi | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Brindisi vs Virtus Francavilla on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brindisi score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Brindisi | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Brindisi.
- Where and when is Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi played?
- Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.