Francavilla vs USD Palmese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
The Footlab model makes Francavilla the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for USD Palmese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francavilla vs USD Palmese?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Francavilla (1,720) and USD Palmese (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; USD Palmese have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Acerrana(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Francavilla win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 USD Palmese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | USD Palmese 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Francavilla 1-3 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: USD Palmese vs Francavilla on Apr 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; USD Palmese score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| USD Palmese | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francavilla vs USD Palmese?
- The Footlab model makes Francavilla the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for USD Palmese.
- Where and when is Francavilla vs USD Palmese played?
- Francavilla vs USD Palmese is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.