Virtus Francavilla vs Casertana: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2016 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
Full time
What was the result of Virtus Francavilla vs Casertana?
Virtus Francavilla won 4-1 on October 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′M'Bala NzolaVirtus Francavilla
- 36′M. CarliniCasertana
- 43′M'Bala NzolaVirtus Francavilla
- 69′A. PastoreVirtus Francavilla
- 90′V. Triarico TateoVirtus Francavilla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 1 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Casertana have 3, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2016 | Paganese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Matera(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Akragas(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 15, 2016 | Foggia(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Vibonese(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Lecce(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Taranto(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Paganese(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Casertana score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 4/7 | 2/7 |
| Casertana | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy